Southampton vs Derby Prediction

15:00 11 Apr 2026
Home1.71
Draw3.800
Away4.200
Prediction: Home & Btts Yes
Odds: 2.95
Correct Score Prediction: 2:1
Stake: 8

Southampton Last Games

In the last 10 games Southampton has won 6 times, they have lost 1 time, and it has ended in a draw 3 times.

Win 6Draw 3Lose 1

Derby Last Games

In the last 10 games Derby has won 4 times, they have lost 6 times, and it has ended in a draw 0 times.

Win 4Draw 0Lose 6

Southampton Over 2.5 Goals

In Southampton last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 8 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 2 matches.

Over 80%Under 20%
Over
Under

Derby Over 2.5 Goals

In Derby last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 7 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 3 matches.

Over 70%Under 30%
Over
Under

Southampton

Southampton score 19 goals in the last 10 games. Southampton has managed to score an average of 1.9 goals per match. Southampton has also conceded 10 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 1 conceded goals per match.

Scored 19 goalsConceded 10 goals
Scored
19
Conceded
10

Derby

Derby score 15 goals in the last 10 games. Derby has managed to score an average of 1.5 goals per match. Derby has also conceded 16 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 1.6 conceded goals per match.

Scored 15 goalsConceded 16 goals
Scored
15
Conceded
16

Southampton Home Results

In the last 10 home games Southampton has won 7 times, they have lost 0 times, and it has ended in a draw 3 times.

Win 7Draw 3Lose 0

Derby Away Results

In the last 10 away games Derby has won 3 times, they have lost 7 times, and it has ended in a draw 0 times.

Win 3Draw 0Lose 7

H2H

Date Match League Result
04.10.25 Derby vs Southampton Championship 1 - 1
05.01.19 Derby vs Southampton FA Cup 2 - 2
18.02.12 Southampton vs Derby Championship 4 - 0
15.10.11 Derby vs Southampton Championship 1 - 1

Southampton Last Results

Date Match League Result
24.07.26Eintracht Braunschweig vs Southampton Friendlies Clubs 0 : 1
18.07.26Eastleigh vs Southampton Friendlies Clubs 1 : 3
12.05.26Southampton vs Middlesbrough Championship 2 : 1
09.05.26Middlesbrough vs Southampton Championship 0 : 0
02.05.26Preston vs Southampton Championship 1 : 3

Derby Last Results

Date Match League Result
28.07.26Derby vs Valencia Friendlies Clubs 1 : 2
24.07.26SC Freiburg vs Derby Friendlies Clubs 3 : 1
17.07.26Alfreton Town vs Derby Friendlies Clubs 0 : 2
02.05.26Derby vs Sheffield Utd Championship 1 : 2
25.04.26QPR vs Derby Championship 2 : 3

Championship Championship Table

#TeamMPWDLGOALSPT
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 29:89 0

 

Southampton vs Derby Prediction Analysis

The Southampton vs Derby prediction for 11 Apr 2026 is based on recent form, scoring trends, defensive numbers, home and away results, available odds and the wider context of the England Championship fixture. This page brings together the main match details in one place so users can compare the expected score, betting tip and team statistics before the game starts.

When analysing this fixture, recent performance is one of the most important indicators. The form of Southampton and Derby helps show how consistent both teams have been, how often they score, how often they concede, and whether their recent results support the prediction shown on this page.

Home and away performance also plays an important role in this match preview. Southampton will try to use the advantage of the fixture conditions, while Derby will look for ways to stay organised, control key moments and create scoring chances. These details are especially relevant when comparing the expected score with the odds available before kick-off.

The goal statistics on this page can help users understand whether the match is more likely to be open or balanced. Scoring averages, goals conceded, over 2.5 goals trends and both teams attacking patterns all provide useful context. A team with strong attacking numbers may still face problems if its defensive record is poor, while a disciplined defensive side can make a fixture harder to predict.

H2H information and league table data, when available, add another layer to the analysis. Previous meetings between Southampton and Derby can reveal recurring patterns, but they should always be read together with current form, squad situation, motivation and the competitive position of both teams in England Championship.

The prediction shown above should not be treated as a guaranteed outcome. Football predictions are built from probabilities, not certainty. The aim is to provide a clear and useful match analysis that explains why one result, scoreline or betting angle may have more value than another based on the available data.

For this England Championship match, the most relevant factors are team consistency, recent attacking output, goals conceded, home and away performance, odds movement and the way both teams have performed in comparable fixtures. By combining these elements, users can get a more complete view of the Southampton vs Derby prediction before making their own final judgement.