Italy vs Türkiye Prediction

19:45 05 Oct 2026
Home1.420
Draw5.250
Away6.250
Prediction: Home & Over 2.5
Odds: 2.09
Correct Score Prediction: 4:1
Stake: 6

Italy Last Games

In the last 10 games Italy has won 6 times, they have lost 2 times, and it has ended in a draw 2 times.

Win 6Draw 2Lose 2

Türkiye Last Games

In the last 10 games Türkiye has won 5 times, they have lost 5 times, and it has ended in a draw 0 times.

Win 5Draw 0Lose 5

Italy Over 2.5 Goals

In Italy last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 3 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 7 matches.

Over 30%Under 70%
Over
Under

Türkiye Over 2.5 Goals

In Türkiye last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 5 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 5 matches.

Over 50%Under 50%
Over
Under

Italy

Italy score 16 goals in the last 10 games. Italy has managed to score an average of 1.6 goals per match. Italy has also conceded 9 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 0.9 conceded goals per match.

Scored 16 goalsConceded 9 goals
Scored
16
Conceded
9

Türkiye

Türkiye score 12 goals in the last 10 games. Türkiye has managed to score an average of 1.2 goals per match. Türkiye has also conceded 14 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 1.4 conceded goals per match.

Scored 12 goalsConceded 14 goals
Scored
12
Conceded
14

Italy Home Results

In the last 10 home games Italy has won 5 times, they have lost 4 times, and it has ended in a draw 1 time.

Win 5Draw 1Lose 4

Türkiye Away Results

In the last 10 away games Türkiye has won 6 times, they have lost 3 times, and it has ended in a draw 1 time.

Win 6Draw 1Lose 3

H2H

Date Match League Result
28.09.26 Türkiye vs Italy UEFA Nations League 1 - 4
04.06.24 Italy vs Türkiye Friendlies 0 - 0
29.03.22 Türkiye vs Italy Friendlies 2 - 3
11.06.21 Türkiye vs Italy Euro Championship 0 - 3

Italy Last Results

Date Match League Result
02.10.26France vs Italy UEFA Nations League 1 : 1
28.09.26Türkiye vs Italy UEFA Nations League 1 : 4
25.09.26Italy vs Belgium UEFA Nations League 0 : 2
07.06.26Greece vs Italy Friendlies 0 : 1
03.06.26Luxembourg vs Italy Friendlies 0 : 1

Türkiye Last Results

Date Match League Result
02.10.26Belgium vs Türkiye UEFA Nations League 3 : 0
28.09.26Türkiye vs Italy UEFA Nations League 1 : 4
25.09.26Türkiye vs France UEFA Nations League 0 : 1
26.06.26Türkiye vs USA World Cup 3 : 2
20.06.26Türkiye vs Paraguay World Cup 0 : 1

UEFA Nations League League A - Group A Table

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1 France 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Belgium 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Italy 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Türkiye 3 0 0 3 1:8 0

UEFA Nations League League A - Group B Table

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1 Netherlands 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
2 Greece 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
3 Germany 4 1 2 1 3:2 5
4 Serbia 4 0 0 4 3:8 0

UEFA Nations League League A - Group C Table

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1 Spain 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 England 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Croatia 3 1 0 2 3:12 3
4 Czechia 3 0 0 3 2:7 0

UEFA Nations League League A - Group D Table

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1 Portugal 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Denmark 4 2 0 2 7:7 6
3 Wales 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
4 Norway 4 1 0 3 6:8 3

UEFA Nations League League B - Group A Table

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1 Switzerland 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Slovenia 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Scotland 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 FYR Macedonia 3 0 0 3 0:7 0

UEFA Nations League League B - Group B Table

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1 Northern Ireland 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Ukraine 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
3 Hungary 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
4 Georgia 3 0 1 2 0:2 1

UEFA Nations League League B - Group C Table

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1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Rep. Of Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2

UEFA Nations League League B - Group D Table

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1 Sweden 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Poland 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Romania 3 0 0 3 3:12 0

UEFA Nations League League C - Group A Table

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1 Finland 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Albania 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Belarus 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
4 San Marino 3 0 0 3 0:14 0

UEFA Nations League League C - Group B Table

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1 Montenegro 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Cyprus 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Armenia 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Latvia 3 0 1 2 1:4 1

UEFA Nations League League C - Group C Table

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1 Slovakia 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Moldova 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Faroe Islands 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Kazakhstan 3 0 1 2 3:5 1

UEFA Nations League League C - Group D Table

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1 Iceland 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Estonia 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Luxembourg 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Bulgaria 3 0 1 2 1:5 1

UEFA Nations League League D - Group A Table

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1 Malta 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Gibraltar 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
3 Andorra 3 0 1 2 1:3 1

UEFA Nations League League D - Group B Table

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1 Azerbaijan 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Lithuania 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Liechtenstein 2 0 1 1 0:2 1

 

Italy vs Türkiye Prediction Analysis

The Italy vs Türkiye prediction for 05 Oct 2026 is based on recent form, scoring trends, defensive numbers, home and away results, available odds and the wider context of the UEFA Nations League A fixture. This page brings together the main match details in one place so users can compare the expected score, betting tip and team statistics before the game starts.

When analysing this fixture, recent performance is one of the most important indicators. The form of Italy and Türkiye helps show how consistent both teams have been, how often they score, how often they concede, and whether their recent results support the prediction shown on this page.

Home and away performance also plays an important role in this match preview. Italy will try to use the advantage of the fixture conditions, while Türkiye will look for ways to stay organised, control key moments and create scoring chances. These details are especially relevant when comparing the expected score with the odds available before kick-off.

The goal statistics on this page can help users understand whether the match is more likely to be open or balanced. Scoring averages, goals conceded, over 2.5 goals trends and both teams attacking patterns all provide useful context. A team with strong attacking numbers may still face problems if its defensive record is poor, while a disciplined defensive side can make a fixture harder to predict.

H2H information and league table data, when available, add another layer to the analysis. Previous meetings between Italy and Türkiye can reveal recurring patterns, but they should always be read together with current form, squad situation, motivation and the competitive position of both teams in UEFA Nations League A.

The prediction shown above should not be treated as a guaranteed outcome. Football predictions are built from probabilities, not certainty. The aim is to provide a clear and useful match analysis that explains why one result, scoreline or betting angle may have more value than another based on the available data.

For this UEFA Nations League A match, the most relevant factors are team consistency, recent attacking output, goals conceded, home and away performance, odds movement and the way both teams have performed in comparable fixtures. By combining these elements, users can get a more complete view of the Italy vs Türkiye prediction before making their own final judgement.