Derby vs Stoke City Prediction

15:00 17 Oct 2026
Home2.55
Draw3.32
Away2.62
Prediction: Draw
Odds: 3.32
Correct Score Prediction: 2:2
Stake: 6

Derby Last Games

In the last 10 games Derby has won 1 time, they have lost 6 times, and it has ended in a draw 3 times.

Win 1Draw 3Lose 6

Stoke City Last Games

In the last 10 games Stoke City has won 5 times, they have lost 3 times, and it has ended in a draw 2 times.

Win 5Draw 2Lose 3

Derby Over 2.5 Goals

In Derby last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 6 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 4 matches.

Over 60%Under 40%
Over
Under

Stoke City Over 2.5 Goals

In Stoke City last 10 games there have been over 2.5 goals 7 matches and under 2.5 goals in the other 3 matches.

Over 70%Under 30%
Over
Under

Derby

Derby score 9 goals in the last 10 games. Derby has managed to score an average of 0.9 goals per match. Derby has also conceded 19 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 1.9 conceded goals per match.

Scored 9 goalsConceded 19 goals
Scored
9
Conceded
19

Stoke City

Stoke City score 17 goals in the last 10 games. Stoke City has managed to score an average of 1.7 goals per match. Stoke City has also conceded 15 goals in the same period. This gives us an average of 1.5 conceded goals per match.

Scored 17 goalsConceded 15 goals
Scored
17
Conceded
15

Derby Home Results

In the last 10 home games Derby has won 2 times, they have lost 6 times, and it has ended in a draw 2 times.

Win 2Draw 2Lose 6

Stoke City Away Results

In the last 10 away games Stoke City has won 2 times, they have lost 6 times, and it has ended in a draw 2 times.

Win 2Draw 2Lose 6

H2H

Date Match League Result
06.04.26 Derby vs Stoke City Championship 2 - 0
09.08.25 Stoke City vs Derby Championship 3 - 1
03.05.25 Derby vs Stoke City Championship 0 - 0
02.11.24 Stoke City vs Derby Championship 2 - 1
22.07.23 Derby vs Stoke City Friendlies Clubs 3 - 0
30.12.21 Stoke City vs Derby Championship 1 - 2
18.09.21 Derby vs Stoke City Championship 2 - 1
20.03.21 Stoke City vs Derby Championship 1 - 0

Derby Last Results

Date Match League Result
14.10.26QPR vs Derby Championship 4 : 1
10.10.26Derby vs Wrexham Championship 1 : 1
19.09.26Burnley vs Derby Championship 1 : 1
12.09.26Derby vs Birmingham Championship 1 : 2
09.09.26Derby vs West Brom Championship 0 : 1

Stoke City Last Results

Date Match League Result
13.10.26Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Championship 2 : 3
10.10.26Bolton vs Stoke City Championship 1 : 2
19.09.26Stoke City vs Sheffield Utd Championship 2 : 1
12.09.26Watford vs Stoke City Championship 1 : 2
08.09.26Cardiff vs Stoke City Championship 1 : 1

Championship Table

#TeamMPWDLGOALSPT
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 16:7 23
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 20:14 21
3 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17:11 17
4 West Brom 10 5 2 3 12:10 17
5 West Ham 9 4 4 1 23:12 16
6 Southampton 10 6 2 2 21:10 16
7 Stoke City 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
9 QPR 9 3 5 1 11:8 14
10 Wolves 9 4 2 3 16:14 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 10:13 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 15:18 13
15 Sheffield Utd 10 3 3 4 14:14 12
16 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 12:13 11
17 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11:15 11
18 Lincoln 9 3 2 4 7:11 11
19 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 16:15 10
20 Norwich 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 15:19 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8:19 8
23 Derby 9 1 3 5 8:15 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 8:20 4

 

Derby vs Stoke City Prediction Analysis

The Derby vs Stoke City prediction for 17 Oct 2026 is based on recent form, scoring trends, defensive numbers, home and away results, available odds and the wider context of the England Championship fixture. This page brings together the main match details in one place so users can compare the expected score, betting tip and team statistics before the game starts.

When analysing this fixture, recent performance is one of the most important indicators. The form of Derby and Stoke City helps show how consistent both teams have been, how often they score, how often they concede, and whether their recent results support the prediction shown on this page.

Home and away performance also plays an important role in this match preview. Derby will try to use the advantage of the fixture conditions, while Stoke City will look for ways to stay organised, control key moments and create scoring chances. These details are especially relevant when comparing the expected score with the odds available before kick-off.

The goal statistics on this page can help users understand whether the match is more likely to be open or balanced. Scoring averages, goals conceded, over 2.5 goals trends and both teams attacking patterns all provide useful context. A team with strong attacking numbers may still face problems if its defensive record is poor, while a disciplined defensive side can make a fixture harder to predict.

H2H information and league table data, when available, add another layer to the analysis. Previous meetings between Derby and Stoke City can reveal recurring patterns, but they should always be read together with current form, squad situation, motivation and the competitive position of both teams in England Championship.

The prediction shown above should not be treated as a guaranteed outcome. Football predictions are built from probabilities, not certainty. The aim is to provide a clear and useful match analysis that explains why one result, scoreline or betting angle may have more value than another based on the available data.

For this England Championship match, the most relevant factors are team consistency, recent attacking output, goals conceded, home and away performance, odds movement and the way both teams have performed in comparable fixtures. By combining these elements, users can get a more complete view of the Derby vs Stoke City prediction before making their own final judgement.